Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.