Typhoon KETSANA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cambodia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.