Typhoon MIRINAE is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.