Typhoon CONSON (03W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.